Renewable Energy PPA: US corporate PPA market sees remarkable uptick in Q4 2023- a deep dive into the 4.5 GW surge

published on 20 December 2023

In the current quarter, the US corporate PPA space has recorded a staggering 4.5 GW of contracted capacity, with the surge predominantly led by the technology sector. This marks a significant shift from the cautious approach observed among corporate off-takers in the market's first half.

📉 Market trends in the first half: High power prices, soaring interest rates, and uncertainties in corporate growth led to a period of reduced activity. Companies were understandably hesitant, opting to wait for a more stable market environment before escalating their procurement strategies.

📈 Driver for current surge: The previous quarter witnessed a stabilisation in supply market conditions, with a decline in PPA prices in the US. Additionally, the inflation rate continued its downward trajectory. These factors collectively reignited corporate efforts towards decarbonization, with the technology sector at the forefront.

💡 Technology Sector's Dominance: Over 60% of the current quarter's activity is attributed to this sector. Highlighting this trend are significant deals like Meta's 330 MW solar portfolio agreement with Adapture Renewables, and Amazon's collaboration with EDF Renewables and Enbridge for the 577 Fox Squirrel solar farms.

🔮 Looking Ahead: Enerdatics projects a robust continuation of PPA activities into 2024 and beyond. With anticipated lower PPA prices, the stage is set for an even more dynamic market. Echoing this sentiment is RWE's CEO, who points to an increasing number of projects ready for PPAs, potentially leading to further price reductions. This scenario is ideal for companies and utilities aiming to mitigate long-term commodity price risks, achieve cost savings, and reduce their carbon footprint.

The above analysis is proprietary to Enerdatics’ energy analytics team, based on the current understanding of the available data. The information is subject to change and should not be taken to constitute professional advice or a recommendation.

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